Ukususela ngoMeyi nangoJuni, ukuxinana kwamazibuko aseYurophu sele kubonakala, kwaye ukuxinana kwingingqi esentshona yeUnited States akuzange kukhululeke kakhulu.Ngokwe-Clarksons Container Port Congestion Index, ukusukela nge-30 kaJuni, iipesenti ezingama-36.2 zeenqanawa zeenqanawa zehlabathi bezixinzelelene kumazibuko, ukusuka kwi-31.5% ukusuka ngo-2016 ukuya ku-2019 ngaphambi kobhubhane.#ifeni yekomityi yephepha

Enyanisweni, emva kwalo bhubhani, ingxaki yokuxinana kwamazibuko ayikasonjululwa ngokupheleleyo.Esinye sezizathu zokunyuka kwamazinga omthwalo kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ophelileyo kukuba ingxinano yamazibuko ibangele ukuhla okubonakalayo kwexesha leenqanawa, kunzima ukuyifumana ikhonteyina, kwaye unikezelo kunye nemfuno ziphumile kwibhalansi.

Kutshanje, ugwayimbo kumazibuko amaninzi luphazamise ngakumbi isicwangciso sokusebenza.Nangona imeko yangoku iye yadamba okwexeshana, impembelelo yokulandelela ugwayimbo iya kuqhubeka, ibangele ukucutheka komthamo osebenzayo weenqanawa zeenqanawa.

Ngokwahlukileyo kulo nyaka uphelileyo, into ekhatshwa yingxinano yamazibuko yayingekokunyuka kwesantya somthwalo, kodwa ukwehla kwezinga lokuthuthwa kwempahla kangangesiqingatha sonyaka, kwaye ukunyuka kwemfuno bekungekuko njengoko bekulindelwe.

Ukuxinana kwezibuko kuyaqina

NgoJuni walo nyaka, izibuko laseRotterdam, elona zibuko likhulu eYurophu, lalikwimeko yonxunguphalo, umsebenzi osemva wawusiya usiba mbi ngakumbi, yaye inani elikhulu leebhokisi ezingenanto azizange zisetyenziswe kwangethuba.#pe iqatywe iphepha roll

Amazibuko akunxweme olusempuma yeUnited States kunye neGulf of Mexico, ahlulwe kwizibuko laseRotterdam ngoLwandlekazi lweAtlantiki, nawo azele ziinqanawa zecontainer ezilindele ukumisa.Uhlalutyo lwedatha yokulandelela inqanawa ye-MarineTraffic kunye nemigca yenqanawa yaseCalifornia yabonisa iinqanawa ze-container eziyi-125 zazilindele ukubiza ngaphandle kwamazibuko aseMntla Melika ukususela nge-8 kaJulayi, ukunyuka kweepesenti ze-36 ukusuka kwiinqanawa ze-92 kwinyanga ngaphambili.

Ukuxinana kumazibuko aseYurophu sele kuqengqeleka iintsuku.Idatha yesalathisi sorhwebo lwe-Kiel ekhutshwe yi-Kiel Institute for World Economics eJamani ngoJulayi 6 ibonisa ukuba ukususela ngoJuni, ngaphezu kwe-2% yomthwalo wempahla yehlabathi sele imile kwi-North Sea.#pe iphepha eliqatywe umqulu wephepha leekomityi zephepha

Emva kokunyuka kokuthuthwa kweenqanawa, izinga lokufika ngexesha kwiinkampani zokuthutha liye lehla.Isalathiso sokugcina ixesha sikaJuni selayini ekhutshwe yiShanghai Shipping Exchange ibonisa ukuba kwimeko yokuphinda kuphindaphindeke kancinci kwireyithi yokufika ngexesha ngoJuni, izinga lokufika ngexesha le-Asia-Europe indlela eya kwinkonzo yokuhamba kunye nenkonzo yonikezelo yi-18.87% kunye ne-18.87 % ngokulandelelanayo.I-26.67%, ukunyuka nge-1.21 ekhulwini kunye nokuhla nge-7.13 yeepesenti ukusuka kuMeyi ngokulandelelanayo.

Kwindlela yase China-US, ingxinano kumazibuko aseLong Beach naseLos Angeles ihlala iphezulu.Abanye abahlalutyi bathi ngokufunyanwa komthamo wezibuko laseShanghai emva kwe-1 kaJuni, inani leenqanawa ezisuka e-China ukuya eNtshona ye-United States ziye zaphinda zanda kakhulu.Ezi nqanawa zifike zixinanisene ngoJulayi, kwaye ukuxinana kwamazibuko akwiNtshona yeUnited States kuye kwaphinda kwaphinda kwaqhawuka.#pe iqatywe ikopi yekomityi yephepha

Ngokukodwa, ngokweengxelo zokuthumela ngenqanawa zase-US, ukusukela nge-11 kaJulayi, iPort of Long Beach yayineekhonteyina ezingama-28,723 ezibekwe iintsuku ezisithoba okanye ngaphezulu, eyayiphezulu nge-9% kunetotali yokuphela kuka-Okthobha.Kwiintsuku ezili-12 ezidlulileyo kukho ukutsiba okungama-40% kwinani leekhonteyina ezipakwe ixesha elide.

Nangona kunjalo, iPort of Los Angeles ibonisa iimpawu zokulula emva kokuxinana, ukukhula okucothayo kwimfuno ephezulu yempahla yabathengi kuye kwathomalalisa uxinzelelo kumthwalo wolwandle, kwaye amaxabiso omthwalo osuka e-Asiya ukuya kunxweme olusentshona kuMntla Merika aphantse abe sisiqingatha ukusukela ekuqaleni konyaka.

Nangona kunjalo, kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba nangona izinga lokufika ngexesha le-liner kumazibuko ahlukeneyo kwiqela lezibuko laseMelika liye lanyuka ngaphezulu okanye ngaphantsi kwexesha elidlulileyo ngoJuni, ngenxa yogwayimbo lwabasebenzi bakaloliwe, ixesha eliphakathi kweenqanawa eVancouver Port yaba ixesha elide kwi-8.52 iintsuku;iinqanawa eLos Angeles Port Ixesha eliqhelekileyo kwizibuko ziintsuku ezi-6.13;ixesha eliphakathi kwizibuko laseLong Beach liziintsuku ezi-5.71.#pe ikomityi egqunywe ngephepha lempahla ekrwada kwihoseyile

Ugwayimbo lwabasebenzi longeza umqobo

Uqhankqalazo lweeyure ezingama-48 lwabasebenzi basezibukweni baseJamani luqale ngomhla we-14 kweyeKhala lwaza lwaphela ngentsimbi yesi-6 kusasa ngoMgqibelo.Bamalunga ne-12,000 labasebenzi basezikhumulweni zenqanawa abaza kuthabatha inxaxheba kugwayimbo, kuquka nokusebenza kwemihla ngemihla kwamazibuko amakhulu eekhonteyina eJamani afana neZibuko laseHamburg, iBremerhaven neWilhelmshaven, okuza kuchaphazeleka kanobom.Olu lolona qhankqalazo lude lwaseJamani kwiminyaka engama-40.#pepar ikomityi imathiriyeli ekrwada

Ngokweenkcukacha ezinikezelwe yiHaitong Futures, ugwayimbo lwamva nje oluthe gqolo kunye nokungabikho kwabasebenzi kuphinde kwakhokelela ekwandeni kokuxinana kwamazibuko.Umthamo wangoku kwizibuko yi-2.15 yezigidi ze-TEU, unyuke nge-2.8% ukusuka ekuqaleni kukaJulayi kunye ne-5.7% ukusuka kumyinge kaJuni.Inani lamva nje leenqanawa zeenqanawa kwiPort of Rotterdam eJamani limalunga ne-37, kwaye umthamo uwonke unyuke waya kwi-247,000 TEU, ukwanda kwe-13% ukusuka kumyinge ngoJuni.

Ngokutsho kukaMaersk, uqhankqalazo lweeyure ezingama-48 kwizitishi zaseJamani luchaphazele ngokuthe ngqo ukusebenza kwalo eBremerhaven, eHamburg naseWilhelmshaven.Emva koqhankqalazo, iinkampani zeenqanawa zixakekile zihlengahlengisa iishedyuli zazo zokuthumela ngenqanawa kuMntla Yurophu, ekulindeleke ukuba zibangele iinqanawa ezingenanto.Uthethathethwano olongezelelweyo phakathi kweCentral Association of German Seaport Companies (ZDS) kunye neemanyano zabasebenzi ziya kuqhubeka kude kube yi-26 Agasti.#ikomityi yephepha yezinto ezikrwada

Ukongeza kolu qhankqalazo, ukunqongophala kwabasebenzi kwiZibuko laseRotterdam nako kuthintele uphuhliso lweli zibuko.UAllard Castelein, ingqonyela yeZibuko laseRotterdam, kutshanje uxelele amajelo eendaba ukuba ngophuhliso lweli zibuko, ngoku kukho izithuba zemisebenzi engama-8 000 kwiZibuko laseRotterdam.

Kwangaxeshanye, nge-13 kaJulayi, ixesha lendawo, abanye abaqhubi kwindawo yaseLos Angeles babhengeza uqhankqalazo, besongeza uxinzelelo kwikhonkco lonikezelo esele liqinile.Ngokutsho kwedatha yamva nje evela kwiPort of Los Angeles, ukususela nge-13 kaJulayi, kwakukho ii-container ze-32,412 ezilindele ukuthunyelwa kwi-port, apho i-20,533 yayivalelwe iintsuku ezisithoba okanye ngaphezulu.

Ngaba iya kubuya “ekunzima ukufumana ibhokisi”?

Kwintsimi yokuthumela, nayiphi na ikhonkco engafanelekanga iya kubangela ukuxinana kuyo yonke ikhonkco lokubonelela.Ukuxinana kwezibuko kutsha nje kubeke uxinzelelo kujikelezo lwesikhongozeli esingenanto.

Ngokutsho kukaVincent Starmer, intloko yezalathi zorhwebo e-Kiel, urhwebo lwehlabathi lubonise umzila oncomekayo kaJuni, kodwa ukuxinana okukhulu, iindleko zokuthutha eziphezulu kunye nobunzima bokubonelela ngesiphumo buthintele ukutshintshiselana kwempahla.

Uphinde wachaza ukuba xa isixa esikhulu somthwalo sifunjwe, izibuko, indawo yeekhonteyina kunye nenkqubo engaphakathi emhlabeni iya kubangela uxinzelelo olukhulu, kwaye olu xinzelelo lukhulu luya kuqhubeka iminyaka eliqela.Ngenxa yoko, izikhongozeli ezingenanto ziyafunjwa kwi-terminal, kwaye iikhonteyina ezininzi ziya zisiya ngapha nangapha, kubandakanywa nenani elikhulu lezikhongozeli ekumele ukuba zithunyelwe zibuyela e-Asiya.#ifeni yekomityi yephepha imathiriyeli ekrwada

Ulwazi olukhutshwe ngaphambili nguMaersk lubonisa ukuba ekuqaleni kwe-30 kaJuni, izinga lokusetyenziswa kweyadi yeVancouver lidlule i-100%, kwaye isitya singcwatywe.Ukusetyenziswa kweyadi yeekhonteyina kufikelele kwi-113% ngomhla we-8 kaJulayi.

UZhang Dejun, umphathi jikelele we-China Taicang Ocean Shipping Agency Co., Ltd., uxelele iJiemian News ukuba emva kokuba ichweba lokuya lixinile, ixesha lokugcinwa kweziqulathi ezinzima kwizibuko, kubandakanywa nexesha lokukhulula, liya kwandiswa kakhulu, elikwanjalo. kuthetha ukuba ixesha lokusebenza komgqomo liya kwandiswa kakhulu, okukhokelela ekunqongophelweni kokuthunyelwa kweebhokisi ezingenanto.

Ngokumalunga nemeko yangoku, uClaudio Bozzo, igosa eliyintloko elisebenza kwiMeditera Shipping (MSC), eyona nkampani inkulu yehlabathi, ebisoloko iphantsi kwaye ingaqondakali, uthe kulindeleke ukuba imeko ibe mandundu ngakumbi kwixesha elizayo. iinyanga, kwaye imeko yangoku yokuxinana iya kuqhubeka kude kube ngunyaka ka-2022.

Ukuxinana ngoyena nobangela wokonyusa izinga lokuthuthwa kwempahla.Ingxelo yohlalutyo ye-SDIC i-Anxin Futures Research Institute ibonisa ukuba ingxinano eyandayo yamazibuko aseYurophu naseMelika iya kuphinda ithintele umthamo wangoku wokuhambisa ngenqanawa kwaye ichaphazele unikezelo lomthamo osebenzayo wokuthuthwa kwenqanawa kwimarike.Ibekwe phezulu kwixesha elizayo lenqanawe lokuthutha, liya kwenza inkxaso ethile kumaxabiso omthwalo kwixesha elifutshane..Ukongeza, incopho yeholide yasehlotyeni inokubaqinisa ngakumbi abasebenzi, kwaye inqanaba lokuhla lamanzi e-Rhine lithintela uthutho lwangaphakathi emhlabeni, nto leyo enyusa umngcipheko wokuxinana kwamazibuko.

Nangona kunjalo, ukuhla okukhoyo ngoku kumaxabiso omthwalo akutshintshanga kakhulu.Ngokutsho kwedatha yamva nje evela kwi-Shailand Shipping Exchange, i-Container Freight Index (SCFI) iyancipha i-1.67% ukuya kwi-4074.70 amaphuzu, apho isantya somthwalo omkhulu wempahla kwindlela yase-US-Western yawa yi-3.39%, kwaye yawela ngaphantsi. US$7,000 nganye-40-foot container.Yiza kwi6883 US.Isalathiso samva nje se-Drewry sikwabonisa ukuba uvavanyo lweveki lokuthuthwa kwempahla ukusuka eShanghai ukuya eLos Angeles yi-US$7,480/FEU, yehle nge-23% unyaka nonyaka.Olu vavanyo luyi-40% ngaphantsi kwencopho ye-12,424 / FEU ngasekupheleni kukaNovemba ka-2021, kodwa kunjalo ngamaxesha angama-5.3 aphezulu kunomlinganiselo wexesha elifanayo kwi-2019.#pe iphepha eliqatywe imathiriyeli ekrwada yefeni yekomityi yephepha

Oku kwehla akuhambelani nokucotha kwemfuno yorhwebo.UZhang Dejun uthe ngexesha lokuqhambuka kobhubhane eShanghai kwisiqingatha sokuqala salo nyaka, inkampani kufuneka inxibelelane ngokuqhubekayo kwaye incede abathumeli ukuba bazise iimpahla.Ngoku ukuba imfuno iyancipha, kuyimfuneko ukuqhubeka ukufumana iimpahla kwiinkampani zokuthutha.Ujiko olufanayo lwenzekile nakwabanye abagqithiseli.Ngokubhekiselele kwimeko yangoku, izinto ezahlukahlukeneyo ezinxulumene nomthwalo zidibene, kwaye ikamva elizayo alicaci kakuhle.

Ingxelo yohlalutyo ekhankanywe ngasentla ye-SDIC i-Anxin Futures Research Institute ikholelwa ukuba isantya somthwalo siya kugcina ukuguquguquka ngaphakathi koluhlu lweqonga, kwaye lude luphinde lubuyele, kodwa imarike eshushu yokunyuka kwezinga lomthwalo kwixesha eliphakamileyo kulo nyaka uphelileyo kunzima ukuvelisa.#Umlandeli weKomityi yePhepha, iNdebe yePhepha ekrwada, iPe Coated Pepe Roll-Dihui (nndhpaper.com)